Systematic Market
Intelligence
Daily macro risk analysis powered by a live trading system with a 2.32 profit factor across equities, commodities, and digital assets.
Macro & Crypto Regime Brief
Monthly Macro & Crypto Regime Brief
April invalidated March's defensive posture. BTC ETF flows reversed decisively (+$2.10bn, 8-day streak), credit tightened, and equities posted +10%+ on AI earnings leadership, while central banks froze policy with a hawkish lean. The regime shifted to selectively constructive, not broadly risk-on.
Recent Editions
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Bond market is screaming recession with 10Y-2Y inversion deepening to -85bps as crypto fear index hits 23 amid broad asset derisking.
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Energy surge amid dollar strength creates stagflationary undertones while crypto remains trapped in fear territory despite equity resilience.
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Risk assets diverge as equities rally while crypto remains trapped in extreme fear, suggesting institutional flows bypassing digital assets despite macro tailwinds.
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Crypto selling accelerates with BTC down 3.5% despite stable equities, suggesting asset-specific deleveraging ahead of Memorial Day weekend.
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Crypto capitulation meets equity resilience as oil's 4% crash signals growth concerns while rates rally provides policy cushion.
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5 Years. 14,495 Trades. Every Regime.
Tested across bull markets, drawdowns, and recoveries. The system adapts, it does not rely on a single regime to perform.
| Period | Regime | Profit Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Bull | 1.23 |
| 2022 | Bear | 1.45 |
| 2023 | Recovery | 1.32 |
| 2024 | Mixed | 2.18 |
| 2025 | Volatile | 2.32 |
| 2026 YTD | Volatile | 2.32 |