The Daily Macro
Risk Pulse
Cross-asset regime analysis covering equities, commodities, rates, and crypto in one coherent view. Powered by a live systematic framework with a 2.32 profit factor across 37 instruments.
Macro & Crypto Regime Brief
Monthly Macro & Crypto Regime Brief
June confirmed the regime deterioration: inflation re-accelerated (CPI 4.2%, PCE 4.1%), the ECB hiked 25bp, and all four major central banks moved to or held a synchronized restrictive stance. BTC ETFs posted their worst monthly outflow since launch (~$4.5bn), BTC fell ~20% to $59k, and stablecoins contracted for the first time. The one structural bright spot was tokenized-equity infrastructure (+145% to $3.86bn). The regime is risk-off with structural pockets — macro cost of capital high, institutional crypto bid absent, but tokenization and stablecoin rails advancing independently.
Recent Editions
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Broad-based risk asset liquidation driven by rising long-end rates and expanding VIX signals a regime shift toward de-risking, with crypto Fear & Greed at 27 confirming capitulatory sentiment.
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Equities grind higher on steepening yield curve and stable DXY, but crypto Fear & Greed at 25 signals digital assets remain disconnected from risk appetite — a divergence that must resolve.
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Crypto is rallying into extreme fear while equities sell off and the yield curve steepens — a divergence that typically resolves violently in one direction within days.
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Rising long-end yields (+0.88% to 4.61%), equity weakness (NDX -1.55%), crude surging (+3.37%), and crypto Fear & Greed at 22 (Extreme Fear) coalesce into a clear risk-off regime with stagflationary undertones.
Daily Macro Risk Pulse
Equity indices grind higher into a steepening yield curve and rising VIX, while crypto languishes in fear territory — a classic late-cycle divergence that warrants reduced risk in long-duration digital assets.
The systematic cross-asset intelligence layer for people who have to understand both traditional markets and digital assets.
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5 Years. 14,495 Trades. Every Regime.
Tested across bull markets, drawdowns, and recoveries. The system adapts, it does not rely on a single regime to perform.
| Period | Regime | Profit Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Bull | 1.23 |
| 2022 | Bear | 1.45 |
| 2023 | Recovery | 1.32 |
| 2024 | Mixed | 2.18 |
| 2025 | Volatile | 2.32 |
| 2026 YTD | Volatile | 2.32 |